本文係應用Chortareas & Kapetanios(2009)的序列追蹤選擇方法(Sequential Panel Selection Method, SPSM)檢定2001年1月至2011年12月各主要國家來臺入境觀光市場是否具有收斂性假說。SPSM方法可以將追蹤資料區分為定態(Stationary)序列國家群與非定態(Non-Stationary)序列國家群。我們應用傅立葉函數(Fourier Function)追蹤資料KSS檢定(Ucar & Omay,2009)進行實證研究，結果顯示新加坡、香港、韓國、菲律賓、印尼、澳洲、日本與泰國等8國(地區)支持收斂性假說。本研究結果顯示對此8國(地區)具有重要觀光政策意涵。

This paper applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) procedure proposed by Chortareas & Kapetanios (2009) to test the convergence hypothesis of main countries for inbound tourism appears in Taiwan's tourism markets over the January 2001-December 2011. SPSM classifies the whole panel into a group of stationary countries and a group of non-stationary countries. We proposed a Panel KSS test (Ucar and Omay, 2009) with a Fourier function for the SPSM procedure in our empirical study and empirical results indicate that convergence hypothesis holds true for Singapore、Hong Kong SAR、 China、Republic of Korea、The Philippines、Indonesia、Australia、Japan and Thailand countries (region) studied. Our results have important tourism policy implications for these 8 countries (region) under this study.