篇名 | An Integrated Forecasting Model of Complex Uncertainty System Based on Knowledge Discovery |
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卷期 | 27:4 |
作者 | Quan Liang 、 Ming-xing Nie 、 Kai-jian Liang 、 Yong-hui Zhang |
頁次 | 197-207 |
關鍵字 | complex uncertainty system 、 forecasting 、 knowledge discovery 、 EI 、 MEDLINE 、 Scopus |
出刊日期 | 201612 |
DOI | 10.3966/199115592016122704016 |
Forecasting for complex uncertainty systems has always been a very difficult problem, how to make accurate forecasting for complex uncertainty systems has also become a focus of the area fore many researchers. Focusing on the properties of complex uncertainty system, by related knowledge discovery theory and methods with prediction heory and methods. The paper presented a model of integrated forecasting model based on knowledge (IFMK) of multipletargets and multiple-factors, the model utilizes suitable knowledge discovery theory and data mining methods for forecasting. Forecasting method based on IFMK can provide a stable and relatively accurate forecasting results. And analysis of exmaples indicates that the model is valid and practical by forecasting petroleum reservoir, production and demand.