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東亞論壇

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篇名 浙江省開放度和城市化對經濟增長影響的實證分析
卷期 457
作者 黃玉梅孫寧華
頁次 001-012
出刊日期 200709

中文摘要

改革開放以來,浙江省一直保持穩定高速的經濟發展。本文採用向量自回歸模型(VAR)和方差分解等方法,以浙江省為考察對象進行了實證分析。研究發現,浙江省開放度、城市化對經濟成長存在較大的貢獻率。但是開放度和城市化對經濟成長的影響存在一定時期的滯后。另外,經濟成長和開放度也對城市化進程有正向作用。對於浙江省而言,應該進一步深化浙江對外開放,加快城市化以及其配套設施的建設進程。

英文摘要

Since China reformed and opened to the outside world, Zhejiang province has been developing at a steady and high speed. This paper applies VAR model and variance decomposition to study the relationship of economic growth, opening degree and urbanization of Zhejiang province. We find that both opening degree and urbanization have great positive effect on economic growth, but sometimes there is still lag. Besides this, economic growth and opening degree also stimulate the development of urbanization. So Zhejiang province should further deepen the opening degree and accelerate the construction of urbanization.

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