德爾菲預測街是一種專家預測法，主要目的是以科學性的方法，彙整專家們一致性意見，提供給主管者做為決策的參考，或預測某一事件的發展趨勢。比方法特點是由專家群提供意見，以匿名方式，透過多次反覆循環問卷收集資料，並以描述性統計方法呈現團體意見。在歐美護理界已廣泛運用德爾菲預測術，來探討臨床護理研究的優先次序、預測未來護理教育人力與資源，以及分析護理主管者的能力等各層面的護理問題。而國內護理領域中，應用德爾菲預測術的研究報告則相當缺乏，因此從事護理研究者可以運用德爾菲預測術的特性，洞察目前護理專業發展現況與問題，做為規劃護理政策的參考，同時預測未來護理發展的方向。

The Delphitechnique is a forecasting method which provides systematic collective method to aggre-gate the most reliable consensusof opinion from a group of experts on specific questions and issues. The Delphi technique aims to provide the data for prediction of future trend. The method has four key characteristics: the use of panel of experts, anonymity, iteration with controlled feedback, and statis-tical group response. The Delphi technique has been used to develop clinical nursing research priority, to predict the role and manpower of nurse teacher in the future, and to identify the competency of nurse managers in nursing field of western country for several years. In our country, the Delphi technique was seldom used as a research method in nursing studies. The nursing researchers may be utilize this technique to examine the problem of nursing profession, to plan a policy and predict future directions of nursing profession development.