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農業經濟半年刊

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篇名 在地下水水權交易制度下之用水決策與取水許可證之價格分析
卷期 67、67
並列篇名 Water Use and Price Dynamics of Water Right Permit Under Groundwater Trading System
作者 李堅明黃宗煌
頁次 71-97
關鍵字 地下水水權交易完全預期影子價格許可證儲存GroundwaterWater rightPerfect foresightShadow pricePermit bankingTSSCI
出刊日期 200006

中文摘要

     本文是國內首篇考慮水權人對水權交易價格具有完全預期能力,探討水權交易制度與水權人整合性用水需求行為下,政府如何透過水權交易制度管理地下水資源的有效使用,以達成環境目標之文章。本文研究結果發現如下:(1)在水權人整合性用水的最適決策下,地下水與地面水具有替代之關係,且由於水權人考量地面水使用回流及地下水的影子價值,有增加地面水使用之誘因,因此具有節約地下水使用的效果;(2)在水權人對水權交易價格具有完全預期的考量下,政府若能寬鬆核發水權分配量,以引導水權交易價格下附,將可以促使水權人更節約地下水使用;(3)若水權量能夠儲存,則地下水資源的開採率將不滿足Hotelling's法則,水權人若為儲蓄者(或需求者),水權交易價格的成長率將高於市場利率,表示地下水資源的開採率將過高,產生地下水資源利用的『泡沫現象』;反之,水權人若為預借者,水權交易價格成長率將低於市場利率,表示地下水資源的耗竭率較低,有利環境目標的達成。

英文摘要

     We explored the water right owner's decision under a ground water right trading systemby establishing an intertemporal model that takes into account several important factors such asbanking and borrowing, integrated use of surface water and ground water, etc. It differs from theconventional model in such a way that the authorities manage groundwater through operation ofpolicy instruments, such as water right fees, rather than the maximum safety yield. The resultindicated that the firm has more incentive to reduce groundwater use under the trading system.Should the authorities be able to allocate initially more water right permits to the users so themarket price of water right permit is low enough, users will demand less for groundwater. Whenbanking is allowed In the trading system, it happens that the growth rate of permit price does notfollow Hotelling's rule. If the water user is a savor, the growth rate of permit price will be greaterthan rate of return earned from holding any other assets, implying that the pumping of groundwaterhave a

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