文章詳目資料

亞太經濟管理評論

  • 加入收藏
  • 下載文章
篇名 國際資本流動、金融發展與經濟成長:亞洲國家之驗證
卷期 13:1
並列篇名 International Capital Flow, Financial Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from Asian Countries
作者 柏婉貞
頁次 39-52
關鍵字 國際資本流動金融發展經濟成長International Capital FlowEconomic GrowthFinancial Development
出刊日期 200909

中文摘要

本文主要利用異質性追蹤共整合技術來檢視亞洲10 國的國際資本流動、金融發展與經濟成長之間的關係,研究期間為1980-2007 年。本研究有別於過去學者之研究。首先,我們使用追蹤資料以擴大樣本觀察值,並利用追蹤共整合檢定來提升更強的檢定力與更高的自由度。其次,本研究利用虛擬變數來探討1997 年亞洲金融危機結構性改變之影響。最後,本文建構動態追蹤誤差修正模型來估計變數之間的長、短期因果關係。研究結果發現亞洲國家的金融發展與經濟成長之間存在長期雙向因果關係,支持各國金融發展追隨經濟成長的「需求追隨」假說,且國際資本流動有助於亞洲各國金融發展與經濟成長,但高度國際資本流動反而導致經濟衰退。

英文摘要

This paper using the new heterogeneous panel cointegration technique to investigates the relationship among international capital flow, financial development and economic growth in 10 Asian countries over the period 1980-2007. Our paper is distinct from other researches in several respects. First, it uses a cointegration test for panel data which provides more powerful tests and allows us to increase the degrees of freedom. Next, this paper uses the dummy variable to representative 1997 financial crisis to deal with exist the structure break. Finally, it structures a panel dynamic model to distinguish between long and short run relationship among the variables. The paper finds that in the long run there is a bi-directional causality relationship between finance development and economic growth in Asian countries, and support the finance development follow economic growth hypothesis. Moreover, international capital flow has positive effect on finance development and economic growth, but over international capital flow has significantly negative effect on it.

相關文獻