本文以整合氣候變遷與經濟成長之動態最適化模型來模擬分析在不同的二氧化碳排放權交易制度下，當亞洲地區國家參與京都議定書二氧化碳排放減量協議時，對其經濟成長可能造成之影響。研究結果發現：(1)比較僅允許區域間及同時允許區域間與跨時期排放權交易之情境模擬結果發現，此兩種排放權交易制度對亞洲地區國家經濟成長所造成之衝擊並無顯著之差別；(2)在各種不同排放權交易制度下，中國大陸、印度及東南亞地區國家，將可藉由參與排放權交易所得之收益，提升其經濟成長；(3)在允許區域間或同時允許區域間與跨時期排放權交易之情境模擬下，日本將可透過排放權交易，大幅減低二氧化碳排放減量對其經濟成長可能造成之負面衝擊。

An integrated climate-economic dynamic optimization model is constructed to evaluate the potential gains for Asian countries to participate in the Kyoto protocol under alternative emission permit trading scenarios. The main findings are: (1) Impacts of interregional only and interregional plus interperiod permit trading scenarios on the economic growth of Asian countries are similar; (2) China, India, and South Asia could improve their economic growth significantly by selling permits; and (3) Japan could reduce negative economic impacts of emission mitigations effectively but not entirely through permit trading.