篇名 | Predicting hourly ozone concentration in Dali area of Taichung County based on multiple linear regression method |
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卷期 | 7:2 |
作者 | Pai, Tzu-yi 、 Sung, Pao-jui 、 Lin, Chung-yi 、 Leu, Horng-guang 、 Shieh, Yein-rui 、 Chang, Shuenn-chin 、 Chen, Shyh-wei 、 Jou, Jin-juh |
頁次 | 127-131 |
關鍵字 | photo-chemical reaction 、 meteorological conditions 、 air quality 、 ozone 、 multiple linear regression 、 Scopus |
出刊日期 | 201007 |
In this study, multiple linear regression (MLR) method was used to establish the rela-tionship between the O3 at time t + 1 and other indices including hourly air pollutant concentra-tions and meteorological conditions at time t. Then O3 was predicted using the obtained best-fitting MLR. The results indicated that the relationship between the O3 at time t + 1 and other indices including hourly air pollutant concentrations and meteorological conditions at time t agreed with MLR well, The values of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), correlation co-
efficient (R), coefficient of determination (R2), mean square error (MSE), and root mean square error (RMSE) were 29.09 %, 0.95, 0.90, 45.33, and 6.73, respectively when determining the best-fitting equation. In addition, MLR could predict hourly ozone concentrations successfully.
The values of MAPE, R, R2, MSE, and RMSE were 10.37 %, 0.93, 0.86, 0.33, and 0.57, respec-tively when predicting. It also indicated that the hourly air pollutant concentrations and mete-orological conditions at time t could be applied on the prediction of ozone of time t +1.