台商赴中國進行農業投資，除了提供中國發展農業所需之生產、管理技術以及資本，加速中國農業發展外，也對台灣農業發展產生了直接的衝擊，特別是在台灣主要出口市場與台灣產生激烈的競爭。本研究利用CMS 模型，分析1992 至2007 年台灣與中國在日本、美國與韓國市場重要農產品的競爭狀況，結果發現台灣多數的農產品皆被中國農產品所替代。因此，兩岸的農業交流，在國際市場的競爭上，台灣已淪為輸家，故政府必須儘速提出配套措施，才能降低兩岸農業交流在國際市場上對台灣產生的不利影響。

Providing China production and management skills as well as capital
for agriculture development, Taiwanese merchants’ agriculture
investment in China not only accelerates agriculture development in
China but also undermines that in Taiwan. This direct shock to Taiwan is
especially evident in the competition of some main export markets. This
study, exploiting the model of CMS, tries to probe into the agricultural
product competition between China and Taiwan in some markets, say
Japan, US, and Korea, from the year 1992 to the year 2007. The finding
indicates that most Taiwanese agricultural products are replaced by
Chinese ones. The cross-strait interchange, therefore, turns out to be a
loser Taiwan in the international market competition. Our government, in
light of this, should promptly enact some complementary measures to
cushion the negative effect of the cross-strait interchange on Taiwan in
the international market.