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篇名 與物價指數連動之擔保債權憑證的評價模型
卷期 21:1
並列篇名 A Pricing Model of Inflation-indexed Collateralized Debt Obligations
作者 陳芬英彭星與
頁次 165-197
關鍵字 物價指數連動的CDO縮減式模型一般化CDO 模型機率水桶法蒙地卡羅法Inflation-indexed CDOReduced form modelGeneral CDO modelProbability Bucketing methodMonte Carlo simulationTSSCI
出刊日期 201303

中文摘要

本文擴展Meneguzzo & Vecchiato(2002)模型,應用縮減式信用風險模型,首次提出與物價指數連動的擔保債權憑證(Collateralized Debt Obligations,CDO)模型。該模型,除了具備傳統CDO 的特色之外,在物價不斷攀升之際,亦能保障分券投資人的實質收益。此外,當模型分券之通膨效果為零時,則本模型隨即變成傳統的CDO模型,所以本模型可視為傳統CDO的一般化(general form)模型。在蒙地卡羅法和機率水桶法之應用下,實證發現,與物價指數連動的CDO 模型,其分券的信用價差皆高於無通膨效果之傳統CDO 評價模型;物價指數波動度與各分券之信用價差呈同向變動。

英文摘要

This article extends the work by Meneguzzo & Vecchiato (2002) under a
reduced form to first present an inflation-indexed CDO model. Besides the
properties of traditional CDOs, the model can preserve investors’ real profits in an inflation period. Also, the model can reduce to a traditional CDO model when the proportion of the inflation effects of the tranches in the model equals to zero. Thus our model can be regarded as a general one of the traditional CDO models. In empirical studies, using Monte Carlo simulation and Probability Bucketing method, it is found that the fair spread of the inflation-indexed model is higher than that of the traditional CDO model with no inflation effect. Also, the relationship between the fair spread and inflation volatility is positive.

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