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篇名 總統兼任黨主席 對政府法案通過的影響: 陳水扁政府時期的分析
卷期 64
並列篇名 Presidents as Party chairmen and the Passage of Government Bills: An Analysis of Chen Shui-bians Presidency
作者 李鳳玉黃建實
頁次 085-136
關鍵字 總統兼任黨主席政府提案政黨總統化半總統制陳水扁Presidents as Party ChairmanGovernment BillsParty PresidentializationSemi-presidentialismChen Shui-bianTSSCI
出刊日期 201506
DOI 10.6166/TJPS.64(85-136)

中文摘要

總統是否應該兼任黨主席,在台灣曾經引起多次的爭論,雖然正 反意見存有相當歧異,但其實不管是國民黨或者是民進黨,在其執政 任內,都沒能抗拒總統身兼黨主席所帶來的黨政領導的便利。總統身 兼黨主席眞的能夠使政府的施政更爲順暢嗎?顯然這些選擇兼任黨主 席的總統是如此認爲,才會做出這樣的決定。然而,在理論上,既有 文獻多半忽略這項因素的重要性;在實務運作上,我們也看到總統在 兼任黨主席之後,政府提案未必能在立法院通過。究竟總統兼任黨主 席對於政府提案通過的影響爲何?平均而言,是正面的影響並且達到 統計上的顯著水準嗎?這些問題是本文分析的主題,分析個案則鎖定 在陳水扁執政時期。本文認爲,在這個時期裡,民進黨雖然沒有掌握 立法院過半的席次,但是在其他條件相同的情形下,總統透過兼任黨 主席,能夠使政府提案的通過率相較於總統未兼任黨主席時期,有所 提升。其中的原因有ニ。首先,當總統兼任黨主席時,由於總統不用 透過代理人來確保他的意志在執政黨裡獲得貫徹,因此能夠使得黨意 更爲貼近總統意志,而且也有助於總統透過領導黨來領導國會,並使得黨政之間維持較佳的聯繫,促進黨籍立委對於政府立場與政策的支 持與了解。其次,總統兼任黨主席能對反對黨形成壓力,使其減少對 政府提案採取全盤反對的可能性,原因有ニ,ー是因爲總統兼任黨主 席有助於執政黨團結一致支持政府政策,從而能夠更有效地爭取民意 支持,並且讓反對黨感受到比較大的壓力;ニ是因爲總統兼任黨主席 將更能確保執政黨的政策偏好往全國的中間選民移動,因此比較能夠 贏得民意以及反對黨的支持。本文的理論預期也得到實證資料的支持。

英文摘要

Whether a president should also serve as a party chairman has been a controversial issue in Taiwan. However, both the Kuomintang and the Democratic Progressive Party nodded in agreement on this issue as long as they were the ruling parties. Does the fusion of the two roles really make the passage of government bills easier? Most of the existing literature neglected the important factor of a president acting as a party chairman, and hence provided no answer to this question. In actual practice, we observed several cases of failures in securing the passage of government bills in the Legislative Yuan even after a president was named the chairman of the ruling party. In this article, we argue that, other factors being equal, the fusion of the two roles does enhance the probability of the passage of government bills. In our arguments, two reasons explain why this relation holds. Firstly, when a president acts as the party chairman, he/she does not need to rely on an agent to help him/her achieving policy goals, and can ensure the party's policy preferences are exactly the same as his/her own. A president acting as a party chairman can also directly lead the party in the Legislative Yuan and better ensure support from the party's legislators. Secondly, a president acting as party chairman also helps induce a more cooperative stance among the opposition parties because of the following reasons. The first is that a more cohesive ruling party under a president5s leadership as the party chairman is more likely to gain public support, which in turn makes opposition parties more likely to adopt more cooperative stances on some government bills. The second is that a president acting as a party chairman will help his party policy stances move closer to those of the median voter, and these policy stances will be more likely to gain public support, inducing opposition parties to follow suit, at least on some government bills. The empirical findings provide supportive evidence for the hypothesis of this article.

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