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運輸學刊 TSSCI

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篇名 二手貨櫃船舶價格指數之建構- Hedonic 價格迴歸模型之應用
卷期 21:1
並列篇名 Constructing A Secondhand Containership Price Index - An Application of Hedonic Price Regression Model
作者 吳偉銘陳奕誠
頁次 001-024
關鍵字 Hedonic 價格迴歸模型價格指數二手貨櫃船舶價格Hedonic price regression modelPrice indexSecondhand containership priceTSSCI
出刊日期 200903

中文摘要

有鑒於船舶具異質化商品特質,本研究首先利用Hedonic 價格迴歸模型,來 分析二手貨櫃船舶價格中之屬性因數價值。之後,再據以建立一純粹反映船舶市 場各期供需變動之「純」價格指數。然經由實證研究發現:採傳統加權法編列之 現行市場二手貨櫃船價指數,會存在助漲助跌的情形。再者,由於船舶屬性對二 手貨櫃船價確實有顯著影響,因此肇因於貨櫃船舶大型化所致之二手貨櫃船價指 數上升,將可能導致業者誤判為市場景氣需求拉引所致結果。

英文摘要

Due to the heterogeneity of containership attributes, this paper applied a Hedonic price regression model to construct a pure secondhand containership price index, removing the influence of cost-related attributes of containership and revealing the only effect of market variations on the secondhand containership price index. By comparing the pure price index with the prevailing secondhand containership price index based on the traditionally weighted average methods, the study suggests that the prevailing price index may present an overreaction to the market variations. In addition, the empirical study also indicates that a rising index accompanied with larger ships transactions may mislead index users to improperly interpret the signal as an outcome of demand-pull market business.

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