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國防管理學報

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篇名 作戰經驗影響下序列攻擊最適評選模式
卷期 23:2
並列篇名 The Optimization of a Sequential Attack Problem With Combat Experience Effect
作者 張正昌李仕銘
頁次 017-028
關鍵字 集中化序列攻擊策略路徑效能序列效能作戰經驗影響Centralized sequential attack strategyPath effectSequential effectcombat experience
出刊日期 200211

中文摘要

現今戰場充斥著混亂之特性,尤其當戰場雙方一旦交鋒,指揮命令和情報將會趨 向渾沌,過去僅依據指揮官經驗判斷或參考準則的一般性描述,所進行之單一攻 擊目標選定,已顯得相當困難,更惶論在面對多個且重要程度不一的攻擊目標優 先順序排定問題上,決策者可能遭遇之窘境更是不言而諭。因此,本研究乃係基 於兵力整合、有效運用之基本條件下,採集中化序列攻擊策略做為多目標攻擊推 進模式之合理策略選擇,並導入路徑效能及序列效能等概念,以考慮作戰經驗為 影響攻擊目標之預期戰果達成時間之主要因子;再者,假設作戰經驗影響具不完 全遺忘性質,並考慮一般線性函數作戰經驗影響。據此,構建集中化序列攻擊最 適評選模式,藉以求得在最短時間内達至預期戰果之序列攻擊路徑。

英文摘要

The present battlefield is chaotic; especially when the two sides hit off, orders and information tend to be fuzzy. The conventional way of selecting a single attack target appears to be rather difficult already as it is based on the commander’s experience and judgment or the general description of reference guidelines, let alone the dilemma that would most likely occur to decision-makers when prioritizing multiple attack targets of different degrees of importance. This research takes into account the fundamental conditions for integration and effective operation of military forces and adopts centralized sequential attack strategy for the attack and advancement mode with multiple targets and introduces the concepts of path effect and sequential effect, and deems combat experience as a critical factor affecting the time to obtain the anticipated result of an attack target. Furthermore, this research assumes the combat experience effect has incompletely memoriless property, and considers the general linear function of the effect. Based on the above assumptions, the optimization model of centralized sequential attack is constructed to obtain the sequential attack path leading to the anticipated combat results within the shortest time period.

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