本研究利用臺灣教育長期追蹤資料庫第一波及第二波學生與家長資料，探討父母教育期望的預測因子，並分析性別與族群差異。變異數分析、多元線性迴歸分析及羅吉斯迴歸分析的結果顯示，父母教育期望有兩種操作型定義，以學校教育年數而言，無子女性別差異，但漢人父母比原住民父母期許子女接受較多的教育；以大學學歷類型而言，原住民父母比漢人父母較期許子女取得技職大學文憑。其次，社經地位及結構性社會資本較能預測漢人父母的教育期望，對原住民父母幾乎無顯著預測力。第三，對教育價值的看法顯著預測漢人父母教育期望，對原住民父母則無。最後，性別刻板印象僅有些微的顯著預測力，但子女數較多的漢人父母對女兒有較低的教育期望。

This study used the wave one and the wave two databases of Taiwan Educational Panel Survey in order to examine the predictors of parents’ educational expectations. Gender and ethnic differences were also analyzed. Analysis of variance, multiple linear regression, and logistic regression were conducted. It was found that defined in terms of schooling years, the educational expectations of the Han parents were greater than those of aboriginal parents; concerning college diploma, aboriginal parents expected their children graduating from university of technology more than the Han parents. Socioeconomic status, structural social capital, and the view on educational value predicted the Han parents’ educational expectations significantly, not for aboriginal parents’ ones. Gender stereotype was few significant. The greater the number of children was, the lower the Han parents’ educational expectations for their daughters were.