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篇名 國關論壇│戒律式民主的脆弱轉型:緬甸2015年國會大選的意義
卷期 54:4
並列篇名 The Fragile Transformation of Disciplined Democracy: implications of Myanmar’s 2015 General Election
作者 楊昊
頁次 153-164
關鍵字 緬甸國會大選戒律式民主全國民主聯盟翁山蘇姬Myanmargeneral electiondisciplined democracyNational League for DemocracyAung San Suu KyiTSSCI
出刊日期 201512

中文摘要

2015 年11 月,緬甸完成了歷史性的國會大選,由翁山蘇姬(Aung San Suu Kyi)帶領的全國民主聯盟一如外界預期獲得勝選。2016 年3 月,緬甸 新國會即將產生新的總統,進一步成為挑戰軍系勢力、推動戒律式民主 (disciplined democracy)再改造的關鍵領導人。緬甸民主發展正面臨脆弱轉 型之際,儘管全民盟的勝選有利於延續緬甸之春(Burma Spring)的改革能 量,但鑲嵌在制度設計中的各種「透明的不正義」(transparent injustice),卻 也預留了軍系保守勢力逆襲的可能性。有鑒於此,本文將先探討促成緬甸之 春的內生動力,對照國際社會對於緬甸近期政治發展的評估,進而論證本次 國會大選對於緬甸新局的意義。

英文摘要

Myanmar has successfully held its general election on November 8 th 2015. As predicted, the National League for Democracy(NLD)led by Daw Aung San Suu Ki won the election, becoming the majority in the parliament. A new president, according to the Constitution, will be elected by the NLDled parliament by March 2016, who may push forward political transformation of disciplined democracy while challenging the Tatmadaw. The winning of NLD will, for sure, invigorate Burma Spring; however, transparent injustice embedded in the Constitutional setting still consolidates a role and capacity of Tatmadaw in domestic politics. This paper intends to discuss the driving forces of Burma Spring in line with international assessments on Myanmar political development since 2010. It then concludes with the discussion of promises and discontents of Myanmar’s general election in 2015.

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