文章詳目資料

地理學報 CSSCIScopusTSSCI

  • 加入收藏
  • 下載文章
篇名 國家氣候變遷與災害脆弱度評估資本分析法之應用
卷期 89
並列篇名 National Vulnerability to Climate Change and Related Disasters A Capital-based Approach to Assessment
作者 蕭代基洪鴻智楊智凱黃德秀王定心
頁次 061-084
關鍵字 climate changevulnerabilitycapital-based approachadaptive capacityresilience氣候變遷脆弱度資本方法調適力韌性 ScopusTSSCI
出刊日期 201806
DOI 10.6161/ jgs.201806_(89).0003

中文摘要

C為因應氣候變遷與極端氣候事件的可能衝擊,各國多非常關注如何有效調 適,以降低災害風險與追求永續發展。本研究主要目的,在於引入嶄新的資本分 析法,建置國家層級氣候變遷與災害脆弱度評估指標體系,及藉之進行主要國家 之氣候變遷與災害脆弱度評估與比較分析。資本方法乃基於資本存量概念,提供 更合適的脆弱度評估方法,可藉之瞭解吸收災害衝擊之韌性 (resilience) 與調適 力。本文共考慮5 項資本與20 項指標,運用多準則決策分析 (multiple criteria decision-making analysis) 與群落分析 (cluster analysis),評估與比較37 國在2002 與2010 年兩年度間之脆弱度特性與分布。評估結果發現,兩年度之脆弱度分布 無顯著變化,脆弱度較高之國家皆主要分布在東歐、亞洲與中、南美洲。另亦發 現經濟與人力、人造與制度資本三者間之排名具有密切關係,其亦是決定國家脆 弱度的關鍵要素。

英文摘要

Many countries assess climate change and extreme weather events to create targets for reducing disaster vulnerability and risk, and improving sustainability. This article develops a novel methodological framework for vulnerability assessment at the national level, using a capital-based approach. The proposed vulnerability assessment framework consists of 5 forms of capital and 20 indicators. An international vulnerability assessment is performed by assessing and comparing the vulnerability of 37 countries from 2002 to 2010 using a multiple-criterion decision-making approach combined with cluster analysis. Analytical results indicate that the most vulnerable countries are located in East Europe, Asia, Central and Southern America. Strong correlations are found between economic, human, man-made and institutional capital. These three forms of capital are highly consistent in the ranking of the vulnerability countries.

相關文獻