篇名 | 六都房價與區域產業發展之關聯性分析 |
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卷期 | 22:1/2 |
並列篇名 | On the Relationship between the Housing Price of Six Cities and the Development of Regional Industry |
作者 | 林尚毅 、 梅強 、 張學志 |
頁次 | 077-096 |
關鍵字 | 動態面板資料向量自我迴歸 、 區域房價 、 產業發展 、 Panel VAR 、 Regional Housing Prices 、 Regional Industrial Development |
出刊日期 | 201903 |
本研究的利用動態面板資料向量自我迴歸(Panel VAR),探討區域房價與區域產業發展的相互影響關係。研究結果發現:(1)房價與營建工程業及全體營利事業營業額呈現雙向正向的因果關係。(2)當房價上升時,不動產營業額在下一季會隨之提升;不動產業營業額對於房價則沒有影響。
In this study, panel VAR was used to explore the interrelationship between regional housing prices and regional industrial development. The findings of the study are as follows: (1) The causal relationship between house prices and the construction sales, house prices and whole industries sales shows a positive two-way relationship. (2) When the house prices rise, the real estate sales will rise next season; real estate sales has no effect on house prices.