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篇名 台灣已婚婦女勞動供給之實證研究——動態非線性追蹤資料模型之應用
卷期 48:2
並列篇名 An Empirical Study on Labor Supply of Married Women in Taiwan Using Dynamic and Nonlinear Panel Data Model
作者 曾中信張勝凱
頁次 187-220
關鍵字 追蹤資料模型probit模型Tobit模型狀態相依panel dataprobit modelTobit modelstate dependenceEconLitTSSCI
出刊日期 202006
DOI 10.6277/TER.202006_48(2).0002

中文摘要

本文參考Hyslop(1999)的計量方法,在非線性追蹤資料模型中加入一階狀態相依(first-order state dependence)、誤差項一階自我迴歸(first-order autoregression)等動態結構,探討已婚婦女勞動參與具有持續性的現象。研究資料採用華人家庭動態資料庫(Panel Study of Family Dynamics,簡稱PSFD)民國93-96年的主樣本資料。研究結果發現,年齡與敎育年數的影響皆符合一般理論預期;勞動參與具有顯著正向的一階狀態相依,以及負向的誤差項一階自我迴歸;小孩個數對婦女勞動供給在靜態模型中具有顯著的內生性。然而,在動態模型中,此外生性假設的檢定並不顯著。此外,丈夫薪資所得無論在靜態或動態模型中皆具有顯著的內生關係。

英文摘要

This paper follows the empirical methods in Hyslop (1999) to investigate married women’s persistence of labor participation in Taiwan. Dynamic structures such as first-order state dependence and a first-order autoregressive error term are incorporated in the estimation. The data used in this paper is the Panel Study of Family Dynamics (PSFD) between 2004 and 2007. It is found that the effects of both age and education are similar to those found in the previous literature. Moreover, it is discovered that there is significantly positive first-order state dependence and a negative first-order autoregressive error term for labor participation of married women in Taiwan. The hypotheses of the exogeneity of fertility and husband’s income are both rejected in all static models. However, the exogeneity of fertility could not be rejected in all dynamic models.

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