馬來西亞聯邦有30多個政黨。2018年5月,國民陣線被希望聯盟終結了60多年來的聯邦執政地位。不過,在2018年5月9日的那一天,作為大馬第13個州(state)的砂拉越並沒有舉行州属議會的選舉。本文嘗試從各種角度例如聯邦的角度來描述、解釋和推論下一次的砂的選舉。筆者認為目前在砂作為執政黨的Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS)/ Sarawak Parties Alliance (SPA)比較容易繼續執政,因為如果要過半,在砂的希盟必須要得到42個席次。筆者認為吉隆坡要繼續在合作式聯邦主義(Cooperative Federalism)之下對砂【和沙巴(邦國)】下放權力(devolution of powers),也同時要給他們更多的資源,否則後兩者要求回到平等地位(equal status)的合格選民將無法再忍耐下去。預定在2021年9月的前後所舉行的13届的砂(邦國)選舉將讓我們看出砂(和沙)會如何走下一步。
The Federation of Malaysia (FOM) has more than 30 political parties. From May 2018 to the end of February 2020, this country at the federal level has been governed by the Pakatan Harapan (PH) / The Alliance of Hope, thereby ending the BN’s 60+ year rule. However, on May 9, 2018, Sarawak did not participate in the legislative assembly election at the state level. It has its own rules and regulations of playing the game. The previous one was held in May of 2016. The legitimate voters will have to wait for a date before or after September 2021. The author of this article attempts to study the Sarawak election issue from various perspectives, starting from the federal level. The author perceives that the incumbent ruling party, Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) / Sarawak Parties Alliance (SPA), still has a better chance of capturing the majority of seats or 42. It is suggested that the ruling party should continue to practice devolution of powers in the FOM’ s cooperative federalism. Otherwise, more and more voters, in both Sarawak and Sabah Qua Two of the Three Wilayah who want a return to the equal status / PingDengDiWei, will be discontented.