拜登執政以來朝鮮半島繼續維持了僵局，但風險系數呈上升趨勢。美朝韓各方都釋放了對話的信號，卻都沒有采取具體的措施。拜登政府遲遲拿不出具體的政策方針，正在實質性地重演「戰略忍耐」。朝鮮方面雖然沒有恢覆核導試驗，但耐心正在不斷被消磨，正在回歸經濟建設與核武研發的並舉路線。考慮到明年韓國可能出現的政權更叠，倘若再失去文在寅政府的斡旋勸和，美朝關系和整個朝鮮半島局勢極有可能再回到2008-2016年間的惡化態勢。拜登政府還加大了對韓國的拉攏力度，美韓同盟得以鞏固。盡管韓國試圖與美國的對華政策保持一定的距離，但美國與韓國之間對華政策的協作程度明顯好於特朗普時期。如果美國繼續施壓韓國加入對華遏制陣營，朝鮮半島和整個東北亞地區的安全局勢將更加不容樂觀。

Since Biden took office, the Korean Peninsula has still got stuck, but the risk is on the rise. Both sides have signaled talks, but none has taken concrete steps. The Biden administration, which has failed to come up with specific policies, is effectively repeating "strategic patience." North Korea has not resumed nuclear and ICBM tests, but the patience is waken and it is returning to the parallel route of economic development and nuclear weapons development. Given the possible regime change in South Korea next year, if lost the Moon Jae-in administration’s mediation efforts, U.S.-North Korea relations and the overall situation on the Korean Peninsula are likely to return to the deterioration of the situation from 2008 to 2016. The Biden administration has also strengthened its efforts to draw South Korea over to its side, the U.S.-South Korea alliance has been solidified. Despite Seoul's attempts to distance itself from Washington's China policy, the degree of coordination between Washington and Seoul on China policy is significantly better than it was under Trump. If the United States continues to pressure South Korea to join the containment camp against China, the security situation on the Korean Peninsula and the entire Northeast Asia region will become more pessimistic.